🐺 10/29/25

Before we dive in, here’s what’s driving sentiment: a likely rate cut at today’s Fed meeting, major earnings from the hyperscalers, and a widening gap between leaders and laggards.

The Fed decision hits at 2PM ET, with markets pricing a 99.9% chance of a rate cut today and a 91% chance of another in December. While the move is already priced in, the commentary will set the tone.

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Powell’s stance on inflation and labor softness will determine if this marks the start of a broader easing cycle. With the S&P 500 at all-time highs and a third straight gap-up open, traders are betting on lower rates driving more upside… even as $VIX ( ▼ 0.89% ) sits near 16.

Google $GOOGL ( ▲ 2.66% ), Microsoft $MSFT ( ▼ 2.2% ), and Meta $META ( ▲ 0.03% ) all report this week, and expectations center on CapEx guidance and cloud growth. Last quarter:

The market wants to see that hyperscalers will keep investing heavily in AI infrastructure. Any hesitation could test sentiment after such a long run-up… but strong CapEx guides could extend the rally into year-end.

While mega-caps hit record highs, small caps and crypto remain soft. The Russell 2000 is lagging, and Bitcoin $BTC.X ( ▼ 4.94% ) and Ethereum $ETH.X ( ▼ 5.37% ) are struggling to hold key technical levels.

The rally has narrowed… money is crowding into the biggest names as investors chase stability and profitability over speculation. For now, liquidity and rate cuts are keeping the bull market alive, but breadth tells the real story beneath the surface.

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Have a profitable week!

Disclaimer:

Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) before investing. To obtain an ETF's prospectus containing this and other important information, please call (866)498-5677 or view/download a prospectus here:  SPYI | QQQI | | CSHI | BNDI | IWMI | BTCI | IYRI. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest.

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The use of derivative instruments involves risks different from, or possibly greater than, the risks associated with investing directly in securities and other traditional investments. These risks include (i) the risk that the counterparty to a derivative transaction may not fulfill its contractual obligations; (ii) risk of mispricing or improper valuation; and (iii) the risk that changes in the value of the derivative may not correlate perfectly with the underlying asset, rate or index. Derivative prices are highly volatile and may fluctuate substantially during a short period of time. The use of leverage by the Fund, such as borrowing money to purchase securities or the use of options, will cause the Fund to incur additional expenses and magnify the Fund’s gains or losses. The earnings and prospects of small and medium sized companies are more volatile than larger companies and may experience higher failure rates than larger companies. Small and medium sized companies normally have a lower trading volume than larger companies, which may tend to make their market price fall more disproportionately than larger companies in response to selling pressures and may have limited markets, product lines, or financial resources and lack management experience. The funds are new with a limited operating history.

Investments in smaller companies typically exhibit higher volatility. Investors in NEOS ETFs should be willing to accept a high degree of volatility in the price of each fund’s shares and the possibility of significant losses.

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