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Investing isn't Luck, It's Calculated.
Here are the exact 15 metrics I review before I invest
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Welcome to the WOLF Financial Newsletter.
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After working in finance over 6 years and hosting 5,000+ hours of Spaces...
I've found there are consistently 15 metrics I consider for each stock I invest in.
Hereโs a breakdown of them in plain English:
๐ญ) ๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป๐ด ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐
Poor management can destroy great businesses.
And strong management can make an average company great.
Strong management looks like this:
โข CEOs w/ decades of experience
โข Compensation aligning with the industry
โข Management personally invests in company stock
๐ฎ) ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐๐ต ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐
Figure out a companyโs growth prospects by asking:
โข New industry?
โข Declining industry?
โข Howโs customer sentiment?
โข Howโs customer acquisition?
โข What sales strategies are used?
โข Will they stay in the same market?
Growth potential = Potential returns.
๐ฏ) ๐๐๐๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐
Do they have a diversified customer base?
This:
โข Hedges against competition
โข Allows company to reinvest
โข Helps meet debt obligations
A business with multiple customers is safer than one thatโs exposed to an unreliable market.
๐ฐ) ๐ข๐๐๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ ๐ถ๐บ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐
What factors outside of the companyโs control can impact it?
Think:
โข Lawsuits
โข Govt policy
โข Competition
โข The economy
Understand the impact they have to understand a companyโs future.
๐ฑ) ๐๐ป๐ป๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป
Businesses should improve with technology.
If it doesnโt, it loses market share to a competitor.
Companies that leverage new tech are more versatile and adaptive.
This makes them attractive investments.
๐ฒ) ๐ ๐ผ๐ฎ๐
Aka competitive advantage.
Here are some to consider:
โข Size
โข Patents and IP
โข Barriers to entry
โข Production costs
โข Customer loyalty
A sustainable advantage increases your chances of profiting.
๐ณ) ๐ฆ๐๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐
Volatile markets make it difficult to exit a position.
Itโs hard to time it right.
And when itโs hard to time an exit you risk compromising on your return.
Thatโs why I prefer stable industries over cyclical ones.
๐ด) ๐๐ฎ๐๐ต ๐ณ๐น๐ผ๐
When evaluating cash flow, ask:
โข Are they subject to economic cycles?
โข Can the cash flow cover debts?
โข Does the company have a subscription service and/or a low churn rate?
Questions like this will help you determine a companyโs profitability.
๐ต) ๐ค๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ
This will tell you if a business has enough assets to pay upcoming debts.
Equation:
Current assets รท Current liabilities = Quick ratio
A quick ratio of 1 is normal.
But in general, you want a quick ratio above 1.
๐ญ๐ฌ) ๐ก๐ฒ๐ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ณ๐ถ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ด๐ถ๐ป
This shows you how much money a company makes for every $1 in sales.
In other words... profit.
This helps you determine whether there are healthy profits and if operating costs are reasonable.
Equation:
Net income รท Revenue = Net profit margin
๐ญ๐ญ) ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฟ๐ป ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐๐
ROA shows you how efficiently a company uses its resources to generate profits.
But it varies from industry to industry.
So the best way to find a good ROA is to compare it with companies in the same industry.
Equation:
Net income รท Total assets = ROA
๐ญ๐ฎ) ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐ ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ
This shows how much money a company makes per share of stock.
The higher the EPS the more valuable the company.
Equation:
Profit รท Outstanding shares = Earnings per share
๐ญ๐ฏ) ๐ฃ/๐ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ
It shows how much a company is worth & how much investors are willing to pay for each $1 of earnings.
High P/E ratio = stock is overbought or investors are bullish.
Low P/E ratio = stock is oversold or investors are bearish.
Equation:
Share price รท EPS = P/E ratio
๐ญ๐ฐ) ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ฒ๐ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ
Applies mostly to growth stocks with no profits.
The lower the price to sales ratio, the more attractive the investment is.
Equation:
Market cap รท Annual sales = price to sales ratio
๐ญ๐ฑ) ๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐ ๐๐น๐๐ถ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ
Shows how a company would be viewed before a potential acquisition.
A good or bad multiple varies from industry to industry.
So compare it with other companies in the same industry.
Equation:
Enterprise value รท EBITDA = Enterprise Multiple
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐ต๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ถ๐!
The 15 metrics I consistently review before investing in a particular stock.
If you enjoy this newsletter, here are some of my favorites Iโd recommend you read each week:
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