🐺Halving Cycles are OVER!

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Halving cycles are dead.

The 4 factors in this pie chart are what dictates Bitcoin’s price.

Let’s break them down and see where Bitcoin is heading:

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1 - Global Liquidity

Global liquidity is the flow of financial capital in world markets.

Basically, when central banks cut rates and print money, global liquidity rises.

When new money enters the economy, it trickles down into investor pockets.

Which eventually makes its way into Bitcoin and other assets.

2 - Investor Risk

During times of uncertainty, investors pull out of risk assets like stocks or crypto.

Whereas risk-off assets like gold perform well.

We’re currently in this environment right now.

3 - Gold Price

Gold’s relationship with Bitcoin is complex.

As store-of-value assets, they both compete for investor capital.

However, in the long term, they both rise together.

4 - Gold/BTC Ratio

Surges in gold typically hurt Bitcoin.

Whereas surges in Bitcoin typically take investor attention away from gold.

They fight each other in the short term, but global liquidity raises them both in the long term.

So what does this mean for Bitcoin’s price this year?

We’re currently seeing bearish investor risk appetite.

However, that’s always short-term and likely won’t last longer.

The market will eventually get used to Trump’s on-and-off tariffs.

Once market uncertainty declines, risk appetite will return.

Gold’s explosive growth will slow down, giving Bitcoin time to catch up.

We’re also seeing a massive surge in global liquidity.

There’s typically a ~75-day lag between global liquidity and Bitcoin price movements.

Bitcoin should remain stagnant or even lower for a while longer.

Then we’ll see another surge near the end of March or early to mid-April.

The bull market isn’t over yet.

Bitcoin, crypto, and stocks, still have room for growth.

Don’t let short-term bearish signals scare you.

Not investment advice, purely my opinion.

Do your own research.

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