🐺The Bear Market Isn't Coming...

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Are we entering a bear market?

Lots of people think so.

Here are the 3 reasons we’re NOT heading into a bear market:

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Everyone’s bearish right now.

Stocks, real estate, and crypto are all down.

The Fear & Greed index even indicates extreme fear.

This level of fear doesn’t surprise me.

There’s a lot of uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariffs.

Not to mention other geopolitical uncertainties around the globe.

Plus, we’ve been in a bull market for nearly 2.5 years now.

The bull market has to end eventually – right?

But the truth is, bull markets don’t die of old age.

They die thanks to:

1 - Outrageous valuations

2 - Euphoria

3 - Monetary policies

Let’s break each of these down:

1 - Sky-high Valuations

Bull markets classically end when an asset class has illogical valuations.

In other words, prices become detached from the assets underlying fundamentals.

You could argue we’ve seen this with certain AI stocks.

But it’s mostly been short-lived and only certain stocks in particular.

Such as Palantir in February.

2 - Euphoria

Bull markets die of euphoria.

Such as dotcom stocks in 1999, homes in 2007, or NFTs in 2021.

People were buying blind thinking they’d get rich.

All for it to come crashing down.

Are we seeing this today?

As previously discussed, the fear & greed index is at extreme fear.

There’s nothing euphoric occurring in the markets across the board.

3 - Monetary Policy

Are we seeing any bearish indicators from central banks?

In the US, we have high inflation and paused interest rates.

You could argue that’s relatively bearish.

But globally, governments are printing, and rates are lowering.

The US hasn’t even started QE yet.

Which they eventually have to do.

Plus, Trump and Bessent are adamant about lowering rates.

Aside from a terrible geopolitical situation out of left field…

Bull markets don’t end under these conditions.

If anything, we’re in a correction before prices go higher.

Most of 2025 will be a year of green candles.

Bookmark it.

Disclaimers:

Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) before investing. To obtain an ETF's prospectus containing this and other important information, please call (866)498-5677 or view/download a prospectus here: SPYI | QQQI | | CSHI | BNDI | IWMI | BTCI | IYRI. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest.

An investment in NEOS ETFs involves risk, including possible loss of principal. The equity securities purchased by the Funds may involve large price swings and potential for loss.

The use of derivative instruments involves risks different from, or possibly greater than, the risks associated with investing directly in securities and other traditional investments. These risks include (i) the risk that the counterparty to a derivative transaction may not fulfill its contractual obligations; (ii) risk of mispricing or improper valuation; and (iii) the risk that changes in the value of the derivative may not correlate perfectly with the underlying asset, rate or index. Derivative prices are highly volatile and may fluctuate substantially during a short period of time. The use of leverage by the Fund, such as borrowing money to purchase securities or the use of options, will cause the Fund to incur additional expenses and magnify the Fund’s gains or losses. The earnings and prospects of small and medium sized companies are more volatile than larger companies and may experience higher failure rates than larger companies. Small and medium sized companies normally have a lower trading volume than larger companies, which may tend to make their market price fall more disproportionately than larger companies in response to selling pressures and may have limited markets, product lines, or financial resources and lack management experience. The funds are new with a limited operating history.

Investments in smaller companies typically exhibit higher volatility. Investors in NEOS ETFs should be willing to accept a high degree of volatility in the price of each fund’s shares and the possibility of significant losses.

Bitcoin Risk: Bitcoin is a relatively new innovation and the market for bitcoin is subject to rapid price swings, changes and uncertainty. The further development of the Bitcoin network and the acceptance and use of bitcoin are subject to a variety of factors that are difficult to evaluate. The slowing, stopping or reversing of the development of the Bitcoin network or the acceptance of bitcoin may adversely affect the price of bitcoin. Bitcoin is subject to the risk of fraud, theft, manipulation or security failures, operational or other problems that impact the digital asset trading venues on which bitcoin trades. The Bitcoin blockchain may contain flaws that can be exploited by hackers. A significant portion of bitcoin is held by a small number of holders sometimes referred to as “whales.” Transactions of these holders may influence the price of bitcoin. NEOS ETFs are distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC.