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- đșTHE BILL HAS PASSED... Are you BULLISH?
đșTHE BILL HAS PASSED... Are you BULLISH?
Here's what we think...
Itâs been a pretty wild week.
Actually⊠scratch that. Itâs been a wild few months.
But this week especially, we got one of the best unemployment reports in a while. It wasnât just good⊠it was really good. Unemployment didnât just meet expectations, it crushed them.
Instead of the 4.3% consensus, we printed 4.1%. Thatâs a big surprise to the downside. And for context⊠we havenât seen a number that low in almost half a year.
Just think about where expectations were: people thought unemployment would start ticking up, the recession warnings were getting louder⊠and yet here we are. The economy keeps proving more resilient than everyone thinks.
As a result, recession odds just dropped to around 20% on Polymarket.

And honestly? Weâre probably not getting a recession.
This is how it always plays out: recession gets priced in, markets drop, and then the recession doesnât show up. Then everyone flips⊠âoh maybe weâre fineâ⊠and just when they stop fearing it, boom, the market catches you off guard. Happens all the time.
Right now, the CNN Fear & Greed Index is sitting around 77. We havenât seen levels of greed like this since last October. That was around the time the market was printing new highs almost daily.

So, whatâs real? Where do we go from here?
Letâs zoom in.
One thing weâve been talking about with premium subs⊠and something thatâs kept us bullish⊠is the golden cross.
Thatâs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day. It just happened again on the S&P 500. And historically? Thatâs a very bullish signal.

1 month post golden cross: +1.3%
3 month: +4.0%
6 month: +6.7%
1 year: +11.2%
Thatâs the average across 37 occurrences. The win rate over a 1 year horizon? 81.1%.
So four out of five times, the S&P finishes higher a year after the golden cross.
Now you tell me⊠do you think weâre in the unlucky 1 out of 5? Or do you think this is one of those higher probability setups?
Me? Iâm betting on the probability. In fact, staying invested is how we express that bet.
Now⊠letâs talk about spending.
The newest bill that just passed⊠and yes, itâs gotten bigger⊠included a big bump in the military budget. According to recent data, the U.S. military budget for 2025 is approaching $1 trillion. Thatâs nearly equal to the combined spending of most major countries.

And what does that mean for markets?
It means spending is going to keep going. That means inflation risk remains. And the only way to protect yourself from inflation?
You own assets. $HOOD ( ⌠3.65% ) has been good. Didnât mean for that to rhyme. On Prospero.ai short term is still bullish.

Thatâs why we invest⊠not just to grow our money, but to protect it. Stocks, Bitcoin, real estate, hard assets⊠theyâre all shields. If you donât own assets, youâre not protected.
Now letâs touch on Bitcoin in the Premium Section.
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