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đșTHE FED WILL NOT SAVE US THIS YEAR
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THE FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION IS HERE!
My name is Sam. I write articles on growth stocks and macro for the WOLF Financial newsletter.
For more of my content, follow me on X @samsolid57
Letâs be clear⊠There are no emergency rate cuts coming.
The economy is way too strong. So if youâre betting on a Fed pivot to bail out your portfolio⊠donât.
Why do I say that? Because the data says it.
The market says it. Even bonds say it.
âHigher for longerâ isnât a theory anymore. Itâs the base case.
Fed Funds Futures are now pricing in a near 100% chance the Fed pauses in June.
Not only that⊠thereâs a 65% chance we only get two cuts all year. Thatâs it. Thatâs the story.
Not because inflation is spiraling out of control (thank goodness). But because the economy simply doesnât need rate cuts.
People are spending. The consumer is holding up. Thereâs no hard landing to fix.
Q1 GDP dipped, but that was just frontloaded imports ahead of tariff hikes. Q2?
The Atlanta Fed is now forecasting +3.8% QoQ growth.
Thatâs not just resilience⊠thatâs strength. Why would the Fed stimulate into that?
Itâd be like handing more candy to kids already bouncing off the walls.
So what do we do? We stay with long-term risk assets. We buy the dips. We donât let fear dictate strategy.
That doesnât mean we wonât see corrections. But if the crowd starts panicking about recession again?
Fade it. Thatâs exactly what we did on April 9, at the bottom.
We loaded up on $HOOD⊠and even took a swing at $ROBN, the REX Shares 2x levered Robinhood ETF.
That trade worked. And it worked because we ignored the noise and trusted the data.
So stay sharp. Be cautious. Manage your risk.
But donât wait for the Fed to save you. Because this year, they wonât.
Be sure to stay up to date throughout the week with my thoughts and where I see opportunity in the markets! My latest article can be found below!
Have a Blessed Weekend!
Disclaimer: Wolf Financial does NOT offer financial advice. All content provided is strictly for informational purposes. Wolf Financial is not registered as an investment, legal, or tax advisor, nor as a broker/dealer. Please be aware that trading any stock or crypto-related asset carries inherent risks and may lead to substantial capital losses.
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