đŸș The Market Correction...

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The Soft Data Correction
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Entering 2025, markets were optimistic about tax cuts and deregulation under Trump. However, within a week, he raised the topic of tariffs.

Initially, markets shrugged off the tariff talk, hitting new highs. Many believed Trump was using tariffs as a negotiation tool rather than a real policy shift. But as discussions persisted, uncertainty grew. Then, on February 20th, a negative consumer sentiment report signaled inflation fears, triggering a 10% market correction.

Consumer sentiment is a “leading economic indicator” but is considered “soft data” since it’s survey-based. Today’s political polarization skews its reliability—Republicans expected 0% inflation, Democrats 7%, heavily tilting the survey.

Despite market reactions, hard economic data hasn’t shown drastic weakness. While tariffs may slow the economy, I don’t expect inflation or market declines at the levels suggested by soft data. For now, we remain in a “wait and see” economy.

My advice? Focus on the positive and keep an optimistic outlook.

My Schedule This Week!

Have a Blessed Week!

Disclaimer: Wolf Financial does NOT offer financial advice. All content provided is strictly for informational purposes. Wolf Financial is not registered as an investment, legal, or tax advisor, nor as a broker/dealer. Please be aware that trading any stock or crypto-related asset carries inherent risks and may lead to substantial capital losses.

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