WHY THE TRADE DESK CRASHED 30%

What $TTD’s drop and $APP’s rise reveal about the shifting ad tech landscape.

AuthorAuthor

Samuel G & Samsolid
August 08, 2025

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MARKET BOUNCES AGAINST ALL PREDICTIONS

Markets refused to break down this week, even with plenty of calls for a correction. The $SPX ( ▼ 0.01% ) pulled back below its 20-day moving average earlier in the week, then bounced aggressively to recapture it. Yesterday it retested that level and bounced again.

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We’re still bullish and in an uptrend, but a short period of sideways trading within a range wouldn’t be surprising before the next leg higher.

Even $BABA, one of our most profitable swing trades at ~40% gains, still carries a 84 Long-Term Upside score on Prospero.ai.

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BITCOIN PUSHES TOWARD NEW HIGHS

Bitcoin is pushing closer to all-time highs, backed by steady institutional inflows and a favorable macro backdrop. The breakout structure is intact, and volume has been firm on up days. Sentiment isn’t overheated, which leaves room for a sharp upside move if the current risk-on tone continues.

TRADE DESK SLIDE AMID GROWTH CONCERNS

The Trade Desk dropped nearly 30% after earnings despite posting solid Q2 results. Revenue grew 19% YoY to $694M and adjusted EBITDA hit $271M, but Q3 guidance for $717M implied just 14% growth… well below the ~$737M the market wanted.

  • Revenue: $694M (+19% YoY)

  • Q3 Revenue Guide: $717M (+14% YoY)

Subscribe to our Premium Section for more thoughts on why $TTD ( ▲ 5.43% ) fell 30% and why $APP ( ▼ 0.03% ) is up 20%. And what does this mean for ad-tech?

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