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This Week’s Market Recap… 📊

For months, the dominant narrative has been that tariffs will reignite inflation. I used to believe this—after all, academic economics teaches that protectionist policies drive prices higher.

And it’s not just theory. During the election cycle, Democrats highlighted "16 Nobel Prize-winning economists" warning of inflationary consequences from Trump’s tariffs. This argument carried weight.

But as the discussion has evolved, so has my perspective. While tariffs can be inflationary, the reality is more nuanced. Here’s why:

Negotiating Power – Many U.S. trading partners impose steeper tariffs on American exports than vice versa. If tariffs are used as leverage to balance trade terms, they could ultimately benefit the economy.

The Strong Dollar – A robust U.S. dollar makes imports cheaper, potentially neutralizing price increases caused by tariffs. This dynamic could help keep inflation in check.

Oil & Energy Prices – Inflation is heavily driven by energy costs. If domestic drilling expands under Trump’s policies, increased supply could push oil prices lower, offsetting inflationary pressure from tariffs.

Instead of accepting conventional wisdom, it’s worth considering the full picture. The true impact of tariffs will take time to unfold, but the conversation deserves more balance.

Enjoy the weekend!

My Schedule This Week!

Have a Blessed Weekend!

Disclaimer: Wolf Financial does NOT offer financial advice. All content provided is strictly for informational purposes. Wolf Financial is not registered as an investment, legal, or tax advisor, nor as a broker/dealer. Please be aware that trading any stock or crypto-related asset carries inherent risks and may lead to substantial capital losses.